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KSA Renewable Energy Market Outlook to 2030

The KSA renewable energy market is valued at approximately 7.88 gigawatts, based on historical capacity data through 2023 and 2024. This installed capacity reflects cumulative commissioning of utility-scale solar PV and early wind projects under the National Renewable Energy Programme.

KSA-Renewable-Energy-Market-scaled

Market Overview

The KSA renewable energy market is valued at approximately 7.88 gigawatts, based on historical capacity data through 2023 and 2024. This installed capacity reflects cumulative commissioning of utility-scale solar PV and early wind projects under the National Renewable Energy Programme. It is being driven by government-led auctions, Vision 2030 targets, steep declines in solar technology costs, and proactive participation of state‑owned and IPP developers under long-term PPAs. The rapid commissioning of projects like Sudair and Shuaibah underscores this momentum.

Riyadh, Eastern Province, and the Neom region dominate development due to their strategic policy importance, availability of suitable land, and proximity to infrastructure corridors. Riyadh benefits from government‑backed initiatives and project anchors like Sudair, while Eastern Province supports industrial and downstream integration. Neom’s giga‑project framework facilitates large-scale renewable integration, localization, and export‑oriented supply chains, making these locations the clear centers of market activity.

KSA Renewable Energy Market Size

Market Segmentation

By Technology

The KSA renewable energy market is segmented by technology into: Solar PV – Utility, Solar CSP, Onshore Wind, Waste‑to‑Energy, Biomass/Biogas, and Power‑to‑X/Green Hydrogen. Solar PV – Utility currently dominates, reflecting its exceptional resource efficiency, cost‑competitiveness, and rapid scalability. The Kingdom’s average solar radiation (~5,600 Wh/m² horizontal, 250 W/m² direct) gives utility‑scale PV a clear advantage over other renewables. Additionally, auction rounds under NREP have favored large PV projects due to lower LCOEs and shorter construction timelines. The resulting investor confidence and streamlined permitting prioritize this segment over CSP or wind.

KSA Renewable Energy Market Segmentation by Technology

By Application

Utility IPP clearly leads, due to the Kingdom’s policy framework of large-scale auctions, government-backed PPAs, and mobilization of international and local consortiums. The sheer scale and economics of multi-hundred MW projects, along with grid connectivity and long-term revenue certainty, make Utility IPP far more attractive compared to fragmented rooftop or C&I systems. This consolidation aligns with Vision 2030’s ambition to add tens of GW of capacity through linked utility infrastructure.

KSA Renewable Energy Market Segmentation by Application

Competitive Landscape

The KSA renewable energy market is consolidated among a handful of leading developers and international partners, reflecting a competitive but highly project-driven landscape. The renewable sector in KSA is dominated by major players like ACWA Power, Masdar, EDF Renewables, TotalEnergies, and others, reflecting a consolidated development environment. This ecosystem is shaped by large‑scale IPP tender rounds, deep pockets of financing, and integrated project delivery capabilities—hallmarks of success in this high‑capex market.

Company Establishment Year Headquarters Awarded Capacity (MW) PPA Tariff Level Local Content Strategy International OEM Partnerships
ACWA Power 2004 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Water & Electricity Holding Co (Badeel, PIF) 2020 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Saudi Aramco Power Company (SAPCO) 2022 Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
Masdar (AD Energy) 2006 Abu Dhabi, UAE
EDF Renewables & TotalEnergies 2000s France

KSA Renewable Energy Market Share of Key Players

KSA Renewable Energy Market Analysis

Growth Drivers

Fuel-oil displacement mandate

Saudi power demand keeps climbing, with electricity generation reaching 453 TWh and gas-fired output rising from 260 TWh to 280 TWh while renewables produced 3 TWh. Summer system stress still forces liquids burn: monthly crude + fuel-oil for power hit 1.419 million b/d (June), underscoring the policy drive to substitute oil with gas and renewables. The government’s pipeline lists >21 GW of planned renewable projects and multiple new 1.8 GW gas plants, aligning with Vision-linked displacement of oil in power. Macroeconomic capacity to fund the shift is strong: nominal GDP stands at USD 1,237,529.87 million and access to electricity is 100.0 (index value) of population, allowing policy to focus on fuel-mix quality rather than basic access. Rising desalination needs add urgency: capacity is set across 43 plants totaling 3.4 billion gal/day, a large baseload user currently met mainly by gas and liquids. Together, these figures justify the mandate to displace fuel-oil with cleaner capacity to protect export barrels and stabilize the power mix under hot-season peaks.

Giga-project energy demand

Saudi giga-projects are turning into system-scale offtakers for renewables and storage. NEOM Green Hydrogen Company is building a plant sized for 600 tonnes/day H₂ with total investment of USD 8.4 billion, implying several gigawatts of dedicated wind-solar generation. Red Sea Global reports 760,500 solar panels, 1,200 MWh of batteries and 71,600 MWh of clean generation for its resorts—evidence of large, isolated loads migrating to 24/7 clean power. On the grid, peak load reached 74.8 GW with consumption at 324 TWh, while water needs continue to expand via 3.4 billion gal/day of desalination across 43 plants—all macro loads that benefit from dedicated renewable supply and storage. These concrete, published figures from flagship projects and the national utility quantify the scale and immediacy of giga-project-led renewable demand in the Kingdom.

Market Challenges

Grid integration & curtailment

Rapid demand growth and summer peaks stress the grid as renewables scale. National generation totaled 453 TWh with consumption up from 372 TWh to 393 TWh, and SEC reports peak load at 74.8 GW. When heat waves arrive, liquids are still dispatched: monthly crude + fuel-oil burn reached 1.419 million b/d, indicating insufficient flexible capacity and transmission to move non-firm renewable output where it’s needed. Regional balancing routes exist but are limited: the GCC interconnector provides ~1,200 MW of Saudi transfer capacity—material, yet small relative to peaks in the 70+ GW range. Desalination demand, spread across 43 plants and 3.4 billion gal/day, further tightens operating margins, raising curtailment risk when solar ramps down and wind is variable. These quantified grid and demand conditions make integration a first-order challenge alongside renewable additions.

Interconnection delays

Program awards outpace grid-connected delivery, signaling bottlenecks from permitting to interconnection. SPPC executed PPAs for 5,500 MW of new solar in a single tranche, and separately launched a tender round sized at 4,500 MW (wind + solar). Yet EIA tallied only 2.8 GW of installed renewables at the end of 2023 while more than 21 GW sat in the plan, highlighting the execution gap. SEC’s operational metrics—peak 74.8 GW and consumption 324 TWh—underscore how urgently awarded capacity must translate into energized assets. The macro implication is clear: with GDP at USD 1,237,529.87 million, funding isn’t the primary constraint; rather, sequencing of grid upgrades, permitting lead-times, and connection queue throughput must catch up to tender velocity to avoid stranded PPAs and deferred CODs.

Opportunities

BESS co-location

System data demonstrate the need—and the precedent—for large-scale storage. SEC recorded a peak of 74.8 GW with annual consumption at 324 TWh, while summer liquids burn spiked to 1.419 million b/d—clear signals that storage can shave peaks and firm solar output. A national showcase already operates: Red Sea Global cites 1,200 MWh of batteries paired with 760,500 panels, delivering 71,600 MWh of clean energy to run entire off-grid destinations. With desalination demand across 43 plants totaling 3.4 billion gal/day and the GCC link offering only ~1,200 MW of Saudi transfer capacity, co-located BESS at IPP solar and wind sites provides immediate, domestic balancing where interties can’t. These quantified grid stressors and proven deployments validate storage co-location as a scalable, near-term growth avenue for developers and financiers.

Hybrid PV–wind plants

Resource datasets show complementary profiles that suit hybridization. The World Bank/ESMAP Global Solar Atlas indicates Global Horizontal Irradiation around 2,239.0 kWh/m²/yr in the Riyadh area and 2,343.2 kWh/m²/yr in central-western coordinates, supporting high PV output. Concurrently, the program pipeline validates wind’s role: Round-6 includes 1,500 MW of wind at Dawadmi, adding firm nighttime and winter energy that complements PV’s daytime profile. On the demand side, SEC’s peak at 74.8 GW and national desalination running 3.4 billion gal/day across 43 plants create round-the-clock load that hybrids can serve without over-building single-technology reserves. With PPAs signed for 5,500 MW of new solar and an award pipeline exceeding 21 GW, co-located PV-wind assets with shared interconnection and BESS represent a practical path to higher capacity factors and reduced curtailment, anchored by measured resource and program metrics.

Future Outlook

Over the next several years, the KSA renewable energy market is poised for further acceleration, with continued auction rounds, growing private‑sector participation, and expansions toward storage and green energy. Government support, technology cost declines, and gigaproject integration will propel the sector from GW scales to tens of GW, aligned with Vision 2030’s targets and energy diversification goals.

Major Players

  • ACWA Power
  • Water & Electricity Holding Company – Badeel (PIF)
  • Saudi Aramco Power Company (SAPCO)
  • Masdar
  • EDF Renewables
  • TotalEnergies
  • Marubeni Corporation
  • Alfanar
  • Desert Technologies Holding
  • Aljomaih Energy & Water Company (AEW)
  • Jinko Power Technology
  • China Energy Engineering Corporation (Energy China)
  • State Power Investment Corporation (SPIC)
  • Vestas Wind Systems
  • Larsen & Toubro (L&T)

Key Target Audience

  • Major National and International Utilities
  • Sovereign Wealth Fund Investment Divisions (e.g., PIF Energy Strategy Team)
  • Large Energy Asset Owners / Corporate Energy Buyers
  • Institutional Investors and Investment & Venture Capitalist Firms
  • Government and Regulatory Bodies (Ministry of Energy; REPDO; SAMA)
  • Large Industrial and Desalination Operators pursuing captive energy
  • Infrastructure and Power Project Financiers
  • Multinational OEMs and EPCs evaluating Saudi market entry

Research Methodology

Step 1: Identification of Key Variables

The initial phase involves mapping all stakeholders in the KSA renewable ecosystem, from IPPs and OEMs to financiers. Extensive desk research using government data (REPDO), IRENA, industry databases, and auction publications informs definitions, technology scope, and capacity metrics.

Step 2: Market Analysis and Construction

This phase compiles historical capacity additions (e.g., Sudair, Shuaibah), auction prices, and investment figures. We analyze trajectories using bottom‑up capacity build‑out and top‑down policy targets to construct validated market size and growth projections.

Step 3: Hypothesis Validation and Expert Consultation

Hypotheses around cost trends, localization, and technology mix are validated through structured interviews (CATI) with industry experts across IPPs, EPCs, financiers, and government agencies to ensure alignment with operational realities.

Step 4: Research Synthesis and Final Output

Finally, in‑depth engagement with developers, OEMs, and authorities supplements publicly available data. This step ensures triangulation of findings, project-level validation, and a coherent narrative of market drivers, constraints, and future outlook.

  • Executive Summary
  • Research Methodology (Market Definitions and Assumptions, Abbreviations, Market Sizing Approach, Consolidated Research Approach, Understanding Market Potential Through In-Depth Industry Interviews, Primary Research Approach, Limitations and Future Conclusions)
  • Definition and Scope
  • Overview Genesis
  • Timeline of Major Players
  • Business Cycle
  • Supply Chain and Value Chain Analysis
  • Growth Drivers (Fuel-oil displacement mandate; giga-project energy demand; PIF investment; record-low solar/wind tariffs; GCC interconnection; localization incentives)
  • Market Challenges (Grid integration & curtailment; interconnection delays; LC % compliance; land & permitting; FX & supply chain volatility; HSE in desert climates)
  • Opportunities (BESS co-location; hybrid PV-wind plants; desalination-coupled renewables; green Hâ‚‚/NH₃ export; rooftop/C&I solar; digital O&M)
  • Trends (Bifacial modules with trackers; TOPCon/HJT adoption; ultra-high-power PV; ECA/green sukuk finance; AI-enabled forecasting; repowering)
  • Government Regulation (Regulatory authority; Net-Billing rules; Interconnection standards; Local Content policy; Environmental permitting; Wheeling framework)
  • SWOT Analysis
  • Stake Ecosystem (Offtaker; TSO/DSO; IPPs/Developers; EPCs; OEMs; Financiers; O&M providers)
  • Porter’s Five Forces
  • By Value, 2019-2024
  • By Volume, 2019-2024
  • By Average Price, 2019-2024
  • By Technology (In Value %)
    Solar PV – Utility;
    Solar CSP;
    Onshore Wind;
    Waste-to-Energy;
    Biomass/Biogas;
    Power-to-X/Green Hydrogen
  • By Application (In Value %)
    Utility IPP;
    Commercial & Industrial On-site;
    Residential Rooftop;
    Off-grid/Microgrids;
    Desalination-Linked
  • By Procurement Mechanism (In Value %)
    NREP Tender Rounds;
    Corporate PPAs;
    Captive/C&I Self-Consumption;
    Net-Billing;
    PIF-led Consortia
  • By Region (In Value %)
    Central
    Western
    Eastern
    Northern
    Southern
  • By Component (In Value %)
    PV Modules
    Inverters
    Trackers
    Wind Turbines
    BESS
    EMS/SCADA
  • Market Share of Major Players on the Basis of Value/Volume
    Market Share of Major Players by Technology Segment (Solar PV; Wind; WtE/Biomass; Storage-hybrid)
  • Cross Comparison Parameters (Company Overview, Awarded Capacity in KSA [MW], Operational Capacity in KSA [GW], Lowest PPA Tariff [halala/kWh], Local Content %, Financing Structure, Technology Stack, O&M Footprint)
  • SWOT Analysis of Major Players
  • Pricing Analysis Basis SKUs for Major Players in KSA Renewable Energy Market
  • Detailed Profiles of Major Companies
    ACWA Power
    Water & Electricity Holding Company – Badeel (PIF)
    Saudi Aramco Power Company (SAPCO)
    Masdar (Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company)
    EDF Renewables
    TotalEnergies
    Marubeni Corporation
    Alfanar
    Desert Technologies Holding
    Aljomaih Energy & Water Company (AEW)
    Jinko Power Technology
    China Energy Engineering Corporation (Energy China)
    State Power Investment Corporation (SPIC)
    Vestas Wind Systems
    Larsen & Toubro (L&T)
  • Market Demand and Utilization
  • Purchasing Power and Budget Allocations
  • Regulatory and Compliance Requirements
  • Needs, Desires, and Pain Point Analysis
  • Decision-Making Process
  • By Value, 2025-2030
  • By Volume, 2025-2030
  • By Average Price, 2025-2030
The KSA renewable energy market is valued at approximately 7.88 gigawatts as of 2024, reflecting commissioned capacity under utility-scale solar and nascent wind installations, driven by Vision 2030‑aligned auctions.
Growth is propelled by government-backed tenders (NREP), falling costs of solar technology, aggressive renewable targets under Vision 2030, and strong developer and sovereign fund engagement.
Solar PV – Utility leads overwhelmingly, due to exceptional solar resources, economics, and streamlined utility‑scale deployment mechanisms making it the backbone of KSA’s clean energy push.
Grid integration and transmission infrastructure remain constraints, as rapid renewables penetration requires upgrading a grid originally designed for centralized fossil fuel generation.
Installed capacity is expected to grow from 7.88 GW in 2024 to nearly 29.3 GW by 2030, implying a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 23.3 %.
Product Code
NEXMR5362Product Code
pages
80Pages
Base Year
2024Base Year
Publish Date
June , 2025Date Published
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